The NDRC energy source: "reinventing energy" can help the economy to grow six times by 2050

Date: 2017-09-19

       Institutions such as the national development and reform commission energy research institute of the study, released on September 6, said that China is entirely possible to feasible technology, reasonable economy, social acceptable way, by restoring the energy production and consumption system, to 6 times to realize the economic growth in 2050, at the same time, demand for primary energy only 1% higher than in 2010.

       According to the report, China's non-fossil electricity will account for 82 percent of China's electricity consumption in 2050, with renewable energy generating 68 percent of the country's electricity generation. China is expected to achieve a peak of carbon dioxide emissions by around 2025, with co2 emissions 42 percent below 2010 levels by 2050.

       "Restore energy: China" project, head of China, the national development and reform commission energy research institute, director of the dai on the BBS, "restore energy: China" research project by the national development and reform commission energy research institute, in June 2013, and in combination with the Lawrence Berkeley national laboratory, the rocky mountain institute and energy foundation three international agencies (China) of more than 50 industry experts work together for 3 years.

       Reported that over the past 30 years, fossil energy development power of China's economic growth, the push to become the world's second largest economy, but also bring great resources environment cost, development mode unsustainable consequences. To realize a well-off and modernized task and accelerate the transformation of energy development is the key to solve the contradiction of resource environment, transform the way of development, and innovate the path of sustainable development.

       The data shows that China's total energy consumption is large and fast, but the overall energy utilization efficiency is not high. In 1978-2015, China's annual energy consumption grew by 5.6% a year, 2.9 times the rate of global energy consumption in the same period. In 2015, China's energy consumption accounted for 22.4 percent of the world's total, but it produced only 12.2 percent of the world's GDP. The energy consumption per unit of GDP is four to six times that of developed countries.

       Compared with the developed countries entering the era of oil and gas and some developed countries entering the era of renewable energy, coal has long dominated China's total energy consumption and increment. If the continuation of traditional energy development path, even think of the future technological progress, by 2050, a total energy demand in China will reach more than 7 billion tons of standard coal, regardless of the resources, ecological environment, and energy security, economic cost and so on will be unbearable.

       On the basis of the "three 20%" target, the eu further proposed that greenhouse gas emissions would be 80 to 95 percent lower than 1990 levels by 2050, and renewable energy would account for 75 percent of the total energy consumption of the terminal. The United States proposed in the us-china climate change statement that it would reduce emissions by 26% to 28% by 2025. The rocky mountain institute further reshaping the us energy system is put forward, by 2050, 1.58 times GDP growth in the United States, no longer use oil, coal, nuclear energy, and greatly reduce gas consumption.

       The main path to remaking energy should include:

       Industry for the industrial revolution as an opportunity to promote to the first peak, using new technology to release of the industrial revolution is dividends, through the structural adjustment, demand reduction, efficiency and carbonization the four ways, the greatest possible use of cost effective energy efficient technology and renewable energy.

       With low energy consumption building as the core in the construction field can crack building high-growth locking effect, by implementing guide construction area scale popularization of building reasonable growth and promoting industrialization, integration and passive design, enhance the efficiency of building energy systems and equipment, development, building intelligent system terminal can use clean.